StatSheet Projects New Mexico as NCAA Tournament Four Seed: 03/13/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 13th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting New Mexico to make the NCAA Tournament as a four seed. The Lobos are, at this point, on track for an automatic bid, but they won't need to win their conference tournament as they're the #15 team in the AP Poll and sit at #8 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 26-5 overall record and a 13-3 record in the Mountain West.

During its last four games, New Mexico registered a quality win against RPI #29 San Diego State and wins against Nevada and Wyoming but also struggled with a loss against RPI #68 Air Force.

New Mexico is tough against strong competition, with a 16-5 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes an 8-3 record against the RPI Top 50 but an 0-1 record against AP ranked teams. The Lobos boast eight quality wins including RPI #29 San Diego State, RPI #15 Colorado State (2 wins), RPI #34 Boise State (2 wins), RPI #22 UNLV, and RPI #48 Cincinnati with no bad losses to speak of.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Alabama (20-11, 12-6 SEC, StatRank #63), La Salle (21-8, 11-5 A-10, StatRank #41), Baylor (18-13, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #61), and Ole Miss (23-8, 12-6 SEC, StatRank #56).

The first four teams out are Iowa (20-11, 9-9 Big Ten, StatRank #75), Southern Miss (23-8, 12-4 Conference USA, StatRank #47), Virginia (21-10, 11-7 ACC, StatRank #63), and Wichita State (26-8, 12-6 Missouri Valley, StatRank #33).

The next four out are Arkansas (19-12, 10-8 SEC, StatRank #78), California (20-10, 12-6 Pac-12, StatRank #46), Providence (17-13, 9-9 Big East, StatRank #83), and St. John's (16-14, 8-10 Big East, StatRank #79).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Georgetown
#3Florida
#4Kansas State
#5Colorado State
#6Arizona
#7Butler
#8Belmont
#9Creighton
#10Cincinnati
#11Boise State
#12Baylor
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15FGCU
#16Iona
#17Liberty
Regional 2
#1Gonzaga
#2Kansas
#3Marquette
#4New Mexico
#5Minnesota
#6NC State
#7Memphis
#8UNLV
#9Illinois
#10Iowa State
#11Kentucky
#12Colorado
#13Alabama
#14Davidson
#15Harvard
#16Long Beach State
#17Long Island
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Michigan
#3Miami (FL)
#4North Carolina
#5Pittsburgh
#6Saint Louis
#7Missouri
#8Oklahoma
#9San Diego State
#10Saint Mary's
#11MTSU
#12Ole Miss
#13La Salle
#14SDSU
#15Montana
#16Vermont
#17Norfolk State
Regional 4
#1Louisville
#2Michigan State
#3Ohio State
#4Oklahoma State
#5Syracuse
#6Wisconsin
#7Notre Dame
#8VCU
#9UCLA
#10Villanova
#11Tennessee
#12Temple
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Valparaiso
#15Stephen F. Austin
#16Western Kentucky
#17Texas Southern

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
SEC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
A-105 1435.7%
Mountain West5 862.5%
ACC4 1233.3%
Pac-123 1225.0%
Sun Belt2 1216.7%
West Coast2 922.2%
MAC1 128.3%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Patriot1 812.5%
Ivy League1 812.5%
SoCon1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
Big West1 911.1%
NEC1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
Conference USA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Horizon1 1010.0%
America East1 911.1%

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Season Preview: Lobos is unlikely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Mountain West Standings

OverallConf
1 San Diego State 31-5 16-2
 2New Mexico 27-7 15-3
3 UNLV 20-13 10-8
3 Nevada 15-17 10-8
5 Boise State 21-13 9-9
5 Wyoming 18-15 9-9
5 Fresno State 21-18 9-9
8 Utah State 18-14 7-11
8 Colorado State 16-16 7-11
10 Air Force 12-18 6-12
11 San Jose State 7-24 1-17
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#11 Obij Aget Fr C 7-1 225
#41 C. Bairstow Sr F 6-9 250
#23 Nick Banyard So F 6-8 205
#33 Deshawn Delaney Jr G 6-5 190
#5 Arthur Edwards So G 6-6 205
#3 Hugh Greenwood Jr G 6-3 205
#53 Alex Kirk Jr C 7-0 245
#22 Merv Lindsay So F 6-7 205
#24 Tim Myles Fr F 6-6 225
#13 Cullen Neal Fr G 6-4 180
#2 Chris Perez Sr G 6-0 190
#1 C. Thomas So G 6-3 195
#12 Devon Williams Fr F/G 6-7 205
#10 K. Williams Sr G 6-4 180